Who Should Seahawks Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 63% · NFC West chance 30%
Besides a Seahawks win, root for the Broncos over the 49ers and the Jets over the Bears.
The Seahawks are 2-1, with a 63% chance to make the playoffs and a 30% chance to win the NFC West. Most games this week barely change their chances. These three matter most:
- A Seahawks win over the Chargers raises their playoff chance to 67%. A loss drops it to 54%.
- A Broncos win over the 49ers leaves the Seahawks’ playoff chance at 63%. A 49ers win drops it to 62%.
- A Jets win over the Bears raises the Seahawks’ playoff chance to 64%. A Bears win drops it to 62%.
Seahawks Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers at Seahawks | Seahawks | High | 54% → 67% | — |
| Broncos at 49ers | Broncos | Low | 62% → 63% | A Broncos win lowers San Francisco’s playoff chance by 10 points. |
| Jets at Bears | Jets | Low | 62% → 64% | A Jets win lowers Chicago’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Lions at Panthers | Panthers | Low | 62% → 63% | A Panthers win lowers Detroit’s playoff chance by 13 points. |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Low | 62% → 63% | A Buccaneers win lowers Green Bay’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Dolphins | Low | 62% → 63% | A Dolphins win lowers Minnesota’s playoff chance by 10 points. |
| Colts at Commanders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cardinals at Giants | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Rams at Eagles | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Patriots at Bills | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jaguars at Bengals | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Titans at Ravens | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Seahawks Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Seahawks Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Seahawks’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Seahawks Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Seahawks fans root for in Week 4?
- Besides a Seahawks win, root for the Broncos over the 49ers and the Jets over the Bears. A Seahawks win over the Chargers raises their playoff chance to 67%. A loss drops it to 54%. A Broncos win over the 49ers leaves the Seahawks’ playoff chance at 63%. A 49ers win drops it to 62%. A Jets win over the Bears raises the Seahawks’ playoff chance to 64%. A Bears win drops it to 62%.
- What are the Seahawks’ playoff chances?
- 63% to make the playoffs and 30% to win the NFC West, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Seahawks games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET