Who Should Browns Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 31% · AFC North chance 10%
The Browns already played this week. Root for the Titans over the Ravens.
The Browns are 3-1, with a 31% chance to make the playoffs and a 10% chance to win the AFC North. Most games this week barely change their chances. This game matters most:
- A Titans win over the Ravens raises the Browns’ playoff chance to 32%. A Ravens win leaves it at 31%.
Browns Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans at Ravens | Titans | Low | 31% → 32% | A Titans win lowers Baltimore’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Patriots at Bills | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Broncos at 49ers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jets at Bears | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Colts at Commanders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jaguars at Bengals | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cardinals at Giants | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Lions at Panthers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Rams at Eagles | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Browns Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Browns Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Browns’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Browns Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Browns fans root for in Week 4?
- The Browns already played this week. Root for the Titans over the Ravens. A Titans win over the Ravens raises the Browns’ playoff chance to 32%. A Ravens win leaves it at 31%.
- What are the Browns’ playoff chances?
- 31% to make the playoffs and 10% to win the AFC North, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Browns games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET