MOCKSLATE

Who Should Cardinals Fans Root For in Week 4?

Playoff chance 2% · NFC West chance <1%

Root for a Cardinals win. Other games this week barely change their chances.

The Cardinals are 1-2, with a 2% chance to make the playoffs and less than a 1% chance to win the NFC West. This game matters most:

  • A Cardinals win over the Giants raises their playoff chance to 3%. A loss drops it to under 1%.

Cardinals Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game

Gamethis weekRoot forthe result that helpsImpactsize of the swingChangeplayoff chanceWhythe rival it hurts most
Cardinals at GiantsCardinalsLow<1% → 3%—
Chargers at SeahawksEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Rams at EaglesEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Lions at PanthersEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Jets at BearsEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Packers at BuccaneersEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Broncos at 49ersEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Cowboys at TexansEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Dolphins at VikingsEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Colts at CommandersEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Falcons at SaintsEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Chiefs at RaidersEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Patriots at BillsEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Jaguars at BengalsEitherEitherUnder 1 point—
Titans at RavensEitherEitherUnder 1 point—

Cardinals Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect

FinalscoreRooted forbefore kickoffResultfor make the playoffs
Steelers 24, Browns 27—No effect

How Cardinals Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons

MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Cardinals’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.

Cardinals Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions

Who should Cardinals fans root for in Week 4?
Root for a Cardinals win. Other games this week barely change their chances. A Cardinals win over the Giants raises their playoff chance to 3%. A loss drops it to under 1%.
What are the Cardinals’ playoff chances?
2% to make the playoffs and under 1% to win the NFC West, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.

Which Cardinals games can still be flexed →

All 32 teams’ rooting guides →

Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET