Who Should Giants Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 35% · NFC East chance 20%
Besides a Giants win, root for the Texans over the Cowboys and the Rams over the Eagles.
The Giants are 2-1, with a 35% chance to make the playoffs and a 20% chance to win the NFC East. Most games this week barely change their chances. These three matter most:
- A Giants win over the Cardinals raises their playoff chance to 38%. A loss drops it to 25%.
- A Texans win over the Cowboys raises the Giants’ playoff chance to 36%. A Cowboys win drops it to 34%.
- A Rams win over the Eagles leaves the Giants’ playoff chance at 35%. An Eagles win drops it to 34%.
Giants Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals at Giants | Giants | High | 25% → 38% | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Texans | Low | 34% → 36% | A Texans win lowers Dallas’s playoff chance by 13 points. |
| Rams at Eagles | Rams | Low | 34% → 35% | A Rams win lowers Philadelphia’s playoff chance by 15 points. |
| Jets at Bears | Jets | Low | 35% → 36% | A Jets win lowers Chicago’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Broncos at 49ers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Colts at Commanders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Lions at Panthers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Patriots at Bills | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jaguars at Bengals | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Titans at Ravens | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Giants Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Giants Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Giants’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Giants Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Giants fans root for in Week 4?
- Besides a Giants win, root for the Texans over the Cowboys and the Rams over the Eagles. A Giants win over the Cardinals raises their playoff chance to 38%. A loss drops it to 25%. A Texans win over the Cowboys raises the Giants’ playoff chance to 36%. A Cowboys win drops it to 34%. A Rams win over the Eagles leaves the Giants’ playoff chance at 35%. An Eagles win drops it to 34%.
- What are the Giants’ playoff chances?
- 35% to make the playoffs and 20% to win the NFC East, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Giants games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET