Who Should Bengals Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 75% · AFC North chance 43%
Root for a Bengals win. Other games this week barely change their chances.
The Bengals are 2-1, with a 75% chance to make the playoffs and a 43% chance to win the AFC North. This game matters most:
- A Bengals win over the Jaguars raises their playoff chance to 81%. A loss drops it to 68%.
Bengals Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars at Bengals | Bengals | High | 68% → 81% | — |
| Titans at Ravens | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Patriots at Bills | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Broncos at 49ers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Colts at Commanders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jets at Bears | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cardinals at Giants | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Lions at Panthers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Rams at Eagles | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Bengals Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Bengals Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Bengals’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Bengals Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Bengals fans root for in Week 4?
- Root for a Bengals win. Other games this week barely change their chances. A Bengals win over the Jaguars raises their playoff chance to 81%. A loss drops it to 68%.
- What are the Bengals’ playoff chances?
- 75% to make the playoffs and 43% to win the AFC North, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Bengals games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET