Who Should Steelers Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 32% · AFC North chance 9%
The Steelers already played this week. Root for the Titans over the Ravens, the Bills over the Patriots, and the 49ers over the Broncos.
The Steelers are 2-2, with a 32% chance to make the playoffs and a 9% chance to win the AFC North. Most games this week barely change their chances. These three matter most:
- A Titans win over the Ravens raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Ravens win leaves it at 32%.
- A Bills win over the Patriots raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Patriots win drops it to 31%.
- A 49ers win over the Broncos raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Broncos win drops it to 31%.
Steelers Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans at Ravens | Titans | Low | 32% → 33% | A Titans win lowers Baltimore’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Patriots at Bills | Bills | Low | 31% → 33% | A Bills win lowers New England’s playoff chance by 19 points. |
| Broncos at 49ers | 49ers | Low | 31% → 33% | A 49ers win lowers Denver’s playoff chance by 11 points. |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jaguars at Bengals | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jets at Bears | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Colts at Commanders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Rams at Eagles | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Lions at Panthers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Cardinals at Giants | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Steelers Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Steelers Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Steelers’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Steelers Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Steelers fans root for in Week 4?
- The Steelers already played this week. Root for the Titans over the Ravens, the Bills over the Patriots, and the 49ers over the Broncos. A Titans win over the Ravens raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Ravens win leaves it at 32%. A Bills win over the Patriots raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Patriots win drops it to 31%. A 49ers win over the Broncos raises the Steelers’ playoff chance to 33%. A Broncos win drops it to 31%.
- What are the Steelers’ playoff chances?
- 32% to make the playoffs and 9% to win the AFC North, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Steelers games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET