Who Should Eagles Fans Root For in Week 4?
Playoff chance 66% · NFC East chance 52%
Besides an Eagles win, root for the Texans over the Cowboys and the Cardinals over the Giants.
The Eagles are 2-1, with a 66% chance to make the playoffs and a 52% chance to win the NFC East. Most games this week barely change their chances. These three matter most:
- An Eagles win over the Rams raises their playoff chance to 74%. A loss drops it to 59%.
- A Texans win over the Cowboys raises the Eagles’ playoff chance to 67%. A Cowboys win drops it to 65%.
- A Cardinals win over the Giants raises the Eagles’ playoff chance to 67%. A Giants win drops it to 65%.
Eagles Week 4 Rooting Guide: Playoff Chance by Game
| Gamethis week | Root forthe result that helps | Impactsize of the swing | Changeplayoff chance | Whythe rival it hurts most |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams at Eagles | Eagles | High | 59% → 74% | — |
| Cowboys at Texans | Texans | Low | 65% → 67% | A Texans win lowers Dallas’s playoff chance by 13 points. |
| Cardinals at Giants | Cardinals | Low | 65% → 67% | A Cardinals win lowers the Giants’ playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Jets at Bears | Jets | Low | 66% → 67% | A Jets win lowers Chicago’s playoff chance by 14 points. |
| Lions at Panthers | Panthers | Low | 65% → 67% | A Panthers win lowers Detroit’s playoff chance by 13 points. |
| Colts at Commanders | Colts | Low | 65% → 66% | A Colts win lowers Washington’s playoff chance by 7 points. |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Packers at Buccaneers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Broncos at 49ers | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Dolphins at Vikings | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Jaguars at Bengals | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Falcons at Saints | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Titans at Ravens | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Chiefs at Raiders | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
| Patriots at Bills | Either | Either | Under 1 point | — |
Eagles Week 4 Games Already Played: Result and Effect
How Eagles Week 4 Chances Are Calculated: 10,000 Seasons
MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings, using its team ratings for every game still to play. Each simulated season also varies every team’s rating to allow for uncertainty in team strength. For each game this week it does that twice, once with each team winning, and keeps every other result the same, so the only difference is that game. The change in the Eagles’ chances between the two is the game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either. Playoff spots and division titles follow the league’s tiebreaker procedure; ties are not played out, and a tie that comes down to a coin toss is split between the tied teams. In a backtest of this simulator on 11,776 team-weeks from 2003 to 2025, teams given under a 1% chance made the playoffs 0 times in 1,671.
Eagles Playoff Chances in Week 4: Questions
- Who should Eagles fans root for in Week 4?
- Besides an Eagles win, root for the Texans over the Cowboys and the Cardinals over the Giants. An Eagles win over the Rams raises their playoff chance to 74%. A loss drops it to 59%. A Texans win over the Cowboys raises the Eagles’ playoff chance to 67%. A Cowboys win drops it to 65%. A Cardinals win over the Giants raises the Eagles’ playoff chance to 67%. A Giants win drops it to 65%.
- What are the Eagles’ playoff chances?
- 66% to make the playoffs and 52% to win the NFC East, before this week’s remaining games. MockSlate plays out the rest of the 2026 season 10,000 times from the current standings.
- How does the NFL Rooting Guide work?
- For each game this week, MockSlate plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the home team winning and 10,000 times with the away team winning, keeping every other result the same. The difference in a team’s chances is that game’s impact. A change under 1 point shows as Either.
Which Eagles games can still be flexed →
All 32 teams’ rooting guides →
Updated: October 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET