NFL Survivor Map 2026

The NFL Survivor Map puts every 2026 game in one grid. For each team and each week you see the opponent, our model's spread, and the team's chance to win. Darker cells mean better odds. Byes are blank. Use Best Week and Future Value to decide when to spend a team and when to save it.

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2026 survivor map (standard), 32 teams by 18 pick columns: opponent, model spread, win probability
																			Best Wk
ARI	@LAC+11.5 · 16%	SEA+8 · 24%	@SF+11.5 · 16%	@NYG+7.5 · 25%	DET+8 · 24%	@LAR+14.5 · 11%	DEN+7 · 27%	@DAL+11 · 17%	@SEA+12.5 · 15%	LAR+10 · 19%	@KC+11 · 17%	WAS+2.5 · 41%	PHI+7 · 26%	Bye	NYJ−0.5 · 52%	@NO+8.5 · 23%	LV+0.5 · 48%	SF+7 · 27%	W15	2
ATL	@PIT+4.5 · 35%	CAR−2 · 57%	@GB+6 · 29%	@NO+4 · 36%	BAL+3 · 40%	CHI+2 · 44%	SF+2.5 · 41%	@TB+5 · 33%	CIN+5 · 33%	KC+2.5 · 42%	Bye	@MIN+4 · 35%	DET+3.5 · 37%	@CLEPK · 50%	@WAS+2.5 · 42%	TB+0.5 · 48%	NO−0.5 · 52%	@CAR+2.5 · 42%	W2	9
BAL	@IND−1 · 53%	NO−5.5 · 69%	@DAL−1 · 53%	TEN−8.5 · 78%	@ATL−3 · 60%	@CLE−5 · 67%	CIN−1.5 · 55%	@BUF+4 · 37%	JAX−3 · 61%	LAC−2.5 · 60%	@CAR−3 · 60%	@HOU+2 · 43%	Bye	TB−5.5 · 69%	@PIT−1 · 53%	CLE−9.5 · 79%	@CIN+2 · 43%	PIT−5 · 68%	W16	185
BUF	@HOU+1.5 · 45%	DET−2 · 58%	LAC−3.5 · 62%	NE−3.5 · 63%	@LAR+4 · 36%	@LV−5.5 · 68%	Bye	BAL−4 · 63%	@MIN−0.5 · 52%	@NYJ−5.5 · 68%	MIA−12.5 · 86%	KC−3.5 · 62%	@NE+1 · 47%	@GB+0.5 · 48%	CHI−4 · 64%	@DEN+1 · 46%	@MIA−8 · 76%	NYJ−9.5 · 80%	W11	202
CAR	CHI+1.5 · 44%	@ATL+2 · 43%	@CLEPK · 50%	DET+3.5 · 38%	Bye	@PHI+6 · 30%	TB+0.5 · 49%	@GB+6 · 30%	DEN+2.5 · 42%	@NO+4 · 37%	BAL+3 · 40%	@TB+5 · 34%	@MIN+5 · 32%	NO−0.5 · 52%	CIN+2.5 · 41%	@PIT+4 · 36%	SEA+3 · 39%	ATL−2.5 · 58%	W18	10
CHI	@CAR−1.5 · 56%	MIN−3 · 61%	PHI−1 · 54%	NYJ−8 · 76%	@GB+2 · 42%	@ATL−2 · 56%	NE−2 · 57%	@SEA+4 · 37%	TB−3.5 · 62%	Bye	NO−5.5 · 69%	@DET+4 · 36%	JAX−2 · 57%	@MIA−6.5 · 71%	@BUF+4 · 36%	GB−2 · 58%	DET−0.5 · 52%	@MIN+1 · 46%	W4	129
CIN	TB−4.5 · 65%	@HOU+2.5 · 42%	@PIT−0.5 · 52%	JAX−3 · 60%	@MIA−7 · 73%	Bye	@BAL+1.5 · 45%	TEN−8.5 · 77%	@ATL−5 · 67%	PIT−4 · 64%	@WAS−2.5 · 59%	NO−5 · 68%	@CLE−4.5 · 66%	KC−2.5 · 59%	@CAR−2.5 · 59%	@IND−0.5 · 52%	BAL−2 · 57%	CLE−9 · 79%	W18	207
CLE	@JAX+8.5 · 23%	@TB+7 · 27%	CARPK · 50%	PIT+2 · 43%	@NYJ+2.5 · 41%	BAL+5 · 33%	@TEN+3 · 39%	@PIT+6.5 · 29%	@NO+7 · 27%	HOU+5 · 33%	Bye	LV−3 · 60%	CIN+4.5 · 34%	ATLPK · 50%	@NYG+5 · 32%	@BAL+9.5 · 21%	IND+2 · 43%	@CIN+9 · 21%	W12	10
DAL	@NYG−1 · 54%	WAS−6.5 · 71%	BAL+1 · 47%	@HOU+3 · 40%	TB−4 · 63%	@GB+2 · 43%	@PHI+3 · 40%	ARI−11 · 83%	@INDPK · 50%	SF−2 · 57%	TEN−8 · 75%	PHI−1.5 · 56%	@SEA+3.5 · 38%	Bye	@LAR+4.5 · 34%	JAX−2.5 · 58%	NYG−5.5 · 69%	@WAS−2 · 57%	W8	143
DEN	@KC+2 · 43%	JAX−2.5 · 60%	LAR+1 · 47%	@SF+2 · 42%	@LAC+2 · 42%	SEA−1 · 54%	@ARI−7 · 73%	KC−2.5 · 58%	@CAR−2.5 · 58%	Bye	LV−9.5 · 80%	@PIT−0.5 · 51%	MIA−11.5 · 84%	@NYJ−3 · 61%	@LV−4 · 65%	BUF−1 · 54%	@NE+2 · 43%	LAC−2 · 58%	W13	156
DET	NO−6 · 71%	@BUF+2 · 42%	NYJ−9.5 · 80%	@CAR−3.5 · 62%	@ARI−8 · 76%	Bye	GB−5 · 67%	MIN−5 · 67%	@MIA−8 · 76%	NE−1.5 · 55%	TB−4 · 65%	CHI−4 · 64%	@ATL−3.5 · 63%	TEN−9 · 79%	@MIN−0.5 · 52%	NYG−7 · 73%	@CHI+0.5 · 48%	@GB+0.5 · 48%	W3	250
GB	@MIN+1 · 46%	@NYJ−3.5 · 63%	ATL−6 · 71%	@TB+1 · 47%	CHI−2 · 58%	DAL−2 · 57%	@DET+5 · 33%	CAR−6 · 70%	@NE+2.5 · 41%	MIN−3 · 61%	Bye	@LAR+6 · 30%	@NOPK · 50%	BUF−0.5 · 52%	MIA−10.5 · 82%	@CHI+2 · 42%	HOU−1 · 54%	DET−0.5 · 52%	W15	120
HOU	BUF−1.5 · 55%	CIN−2.5 · 58%	@IND−0.5 · 52%	DAL−3 · 60%	@TEN−4 · 64%	@JAX−1 · 53%	NYG−6 · 71%	Bye	@LAC+1 · 47%	@CLE−5 · 67%	IND−5 · 68%	BAL−2 · 57%	@PIT−0.5 · 52%	@WAS−2.5 · 59%	JAX−3 · 61%	@PHI+2 · 42%	@GB+1 · 46%	TEN−8.5 · 77%	W18	154
IND	BAL+1 · 47%	@KC+4.5 · 34%	HOU+0.5 · 48%	@WAS−2 · 57%	@PIT+2 · 42%	TEN−5.5 · 69%	@MIN+4 · 35%	@JAX+5.5 · 32%	DALPK · 50%	MIA−9 · 78%	@HOU+5 · 32%	NYG−3.5 · 62%	Bye	@PHI+4 · 36%	@TEN−1 · 54%	CIN+0.5 · 48%	@CLE−2 · 57%	JAXPK · 50%	W10	77
JAX	CLE−8.5 · 77%	@DEN+2.5 · 40%	NE−2 · 57%	@CIN+3 · 40%	PHI+1 · 47%	HOU+1 · 47%	Bye	IND−5.5 · 68%	@BAL+3 · 39%	@TEN−2 · 58%	@NYG−1 · 54%	TEN−7.5 · 75%	@CHI+2 · 43%	PIT−4.5 · 65%	@HOU+3 · 39%	@DAL+2.5 · 42%	WAS−6 · 71%	@INDPK · 50%	W1	125
KC	DEN−2 · 57%	IND−4.5 · 66%	@MIA−7 · 73%	@LV−4 · 64%	Bye	LAC−3 · 61%	@SEA+3.5 · 38%	@DEN+2.5 · 42%	NYJ−8.5 · 77%	@ATL−2.5 · 58%	ARI−11 · 83%	@BUF+3.5 · 38%	@LAR+5.5 · 31%	@CIN+2.5 · 41%	NE−2.5 · 58%	SF−2 · 57%	@LAC+2.5 · 42%	LV−8.5 · 77%	W11	181
LAC	ARI−11.5 · 84%	LV−8.5 · 78%	@BUF+3.5 · 38%	@SEA+3 · 39%	DEN−2 · 58%	@KC+3 · 39%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 35%	HOU−1 · 53%	@BAL+2.5 · 40%	NYJ−8.5 · 78%	NE−1.5 · 55%	@TB+0.5 · 49%	@LV−3 · 61%	SF−2 · 58%	@MIA−7 · 73%	KC−2.5 · 58%	@DEN+2 · 42%	W1	156
LAR	SF−3 · 61%	NYG−9 · 78%	@DEN−1 · 53%	@PHI−0.5 · 52%	BUF−4 · 64%	ARI−14.5 · 89%	@LV−7 · 74%	LAC−4 · 65%	@WAS−5.5 · 68%	@ARI−10 · 81%	Bye	GB−6 · 70%	KC−5.5 · 69%	@SF−1 · 53%	DAL−4.5 · 66%	@SEAPK · 50%	@TB−3 · 60%	SEA−4.5 · 65%	W6	268
LV	MIA−5 · 67%	@LAC+8.5 · 22%	@NO+5.5 · 31%	KC+4 · 36%	@NE+8.5 · 23%	BUF+5.5 · 32%	LAR+7 · 26%	@NYJ+2 · 42%	@SF+9.5 · 20%	SEA+5 · 32%	@DEN+9.5 · 20%	@CLE+3 · 40%	Bye	LAC+3 · 39%	DEN+4 · 35%	TEN−1.5 · 56%	@ARI−0.5 · 52%	@KC+8.5 · 23%	W1	25
MIA	@LV+5 · 33%	@SF+11.5 · 16%	KC+7 · 27%	@MIN+9.5 · 20%	CIN+7 · 27%	Bye	@NYJ+4 · 36%	NE+6.5 · 28%	DET+8 · 24%	@IND+9 · 22%	@BUF+12.5 · 14%	NYJ+0.5 · 48%	@DEN+11.5 · 16%	CHI+6.5 · 29%	@GB+10.5 · 18%	LAC+7 · 27%	BUF+8 · 24%	@NE+11 · 17%	W12	0
MIN	GB−1 · 54%	@CHI+3 · 39%	@TB+2 · 43%	MIA−9.5 · 80%	@NO+1 · 47%	Bye	IND−4 · 65%	@DET+5 · 33%	BUF+0.5 · 48%	@GB+3 · 39%	@SF+1.5 · 44%	ATL−4 · 65%	CAR−5 · 68%	@NE+3.5 · 38%	DET+0.5 · 48%	WAS−5 · 68%	@NYJ−2.5 · 59%	CHI−1 · 54%	W4	113
NE	@SEA+3.5 · 38%	PIT−4.5 · 65%	@JAX+2 · 43%	@BUF+3.5 · 37%	LV−8.5 · 77%	NYJ−8.5 · 77%	@CHI+2 · 43%	@MIA−6.5 · 72%	GB−2.5 · 59%	@DET+1.5 · 45%	Bye	@LAC+1.5 · 45%	BUF−1 · 53%	MIN−3.5 · 62%	@KC+2.5 · 42%	@NYJ−4 · 64%	DEN−2 · 57%	MIA−11 · 83%	W18	169
NO	@DET+6 · 29%	@BAL+5.5 · 31%	LV−5.5 · 69%	ATL−4 · 64%	MIN−1 · 53%	@NYG+1.5 · 45%	PIT+0.5 · 49%	Bye	CLE−7 · 73%	CAR−4 · 63%	@CHI+5.5 · 31%	@CIN+5 · 32%	GBPK · 50%	@CAR+0.5 · 48%	@TB+3 · 39%	ARI−8.5 · 77%	@ATL+0.5 · 48%	TB−1 · 54%	W16	103
NYG	DAL+1 · 46%	@LAR+9 · 22%	TEN−4.5 · 65%	ARI−7.5 · 75%	@WAS+1.5 · 45%	NO−1.5 · 55%	@HOU+6 · 29%	Bye	@PHI+5 · 32%	WAS−3 · 61%	JAX+1 · 46%	@IND+3.5 · 38%	SF+1.5 · 45%	@SEA+7 · 27%	CLE−5 · 68%	@DET+7 · 27%	@DAL+5.5 · 31%	PHI+2 · 44%	W4	74
NYJ	@TEN+2.5 · 40%	GB+3.5 · 37%	@DET+9.5 · 20%	@CHI+8 · 24%	CLE−2.5 · 59%	@NE+8.5 · 23%	MIA−4 · 64%	LV−2 · 58%	@KC+8.5 · 23%	BUF+5.5 · 32%	@LAC+8.5 · 22%	@MIA−0.5 · 52%	Bye	DEN+3 · 39%	@ARI+0.5 · 48%	NE+4 · 36%	MIN+2.5 · 41%	@BUF+9.5 · 20%	W7	33
PHI	WAS−7 · 73%	@TEN−4 · 64%	@CHI+1 · 46%	LAR+0.5 · 48%	@JAX−1 · 53%	CAR−6 · 70%	DAL−3 · 60%	@WAS−1.5 · 56%	NYG−5 · 68%	Bye	PIT−6 · 71%	@DAL+1.5 · 44%	@ARI−7 · 74%	IND−4 · 64%	SEA−1.5 · 56%	HOU−2 · 58%	@SF+2 · 43%	@NYG−2 · 56%	W13	173
PIT	ATL−4.5 · 65%	@NE+4.5 · 35%	CIN+0.5 · 48%	@CLE−2 · 57%	IND−2 · 58%	@TB+3 · 40%	@NO−0.5 · 51%	CLE−6.5 · 71%	Bye	@CIN+4 · 36%	@PHI+6 · 29%	DEN+0.5 · 49%	HOU+0.5 · 48%	@JAX+4.5 · 35%	BAL+1 · 47%	CAR−4 · 64%	@TEN−1 · 54%	@BAL+5 · 32%	W8	70
SEA	NE−3.5 · 62%	@ARI−8 · 76%	@WAS−3 · 61%	LAC−3 · 61%	SF−3 · 61%	@DEN+1 · 46%	KC−3.5 · 62%	CHI−4 · 63%	ARI−12.5 · 85%	@LV−5 · 68%	Bye	@SFPK · 49%	DAL−3.5 · 62%	NYG−7 · 73%	@PHI+1.5 · 44%	LARPK · 50%	@CAR−3 · 61%	@LAR+4.5 · 35%	W9	195
SF	@LAR+3 · 39%	MIA−11.5 · 84%	ARI−11.5 · 84%	DEN−2 · 58%	@SEA+3 · 39%	WAS−6.5 · 72%	@ATL−2.5 · 59%	Bye	LV−9.5 · 80%	@DAL+2 · 43%	MIN−1.5 · 56%	SEAPK · 51%	@NYG−1.5 · 55%	LAR+1 · 47%	@LAC+2 · 42%	@KC+2 · 43%	PHI−2 · 57%	@ARI−7 · 73%	W2	179
TB	@CIN+4.5 · 35%	CLE−7 · 73%	MIN−2 · 57%	GB−1 · 53%	@DAL+4 · 37%	PIT−3 · 60%	@CAR−0.5 · 51%	ATL−5 · 67%	@CHI+3.5 · 38%	Bye	@DET+4 · 35%	CAR−5 · 66%	LAC−0.5 · 51%	@BAL+5.5 · 31%	NO−3 · 61%	@ATL−0.5 · 52%	LAR+3 · 40%	@NO+1 · 46%	W2	91
TEN	NYJ−2.5 · 60%	PHI+4 · 36%	@NYG+4.5 · 35%	@BAL+8.5 · 22%	HOU+4 · 36%	@IND+5.5 · 31%	CLE−3 · 61%	@CIN+8.5 · 23%	Bye	JAX+2 · 42%	@DAL+8 · 25%	@JAX+7.5 · 25%	WAS−1 · 53%	@DET+9 · 21%	IND+1 · 46%	@LV+1.5 · 44%	PIT+1 · 46%	@HOU+8.5 · 23%	W7	24
WAS	@PHI+7 · 27%	@DAL+6.5 · 29%	SEA+3 · 39%	IND+2 · 43%	NYG−1.5 · 55%	@SF+6.5 · 28%	Bye	PHI+1.5 · 44%	LAR+5.5 · 32%	@NYG+3 · 39%	CIN+2.5 · 41%	@ARI−2.5 · 59%	@TEN+1 · 47%	HOU+2.5 · 41%	ATL−2.5 · 58%	@MIN+5 · 32%	@JAX+6 · 29%	DAL+2 · 43%	W12	22

These are MockSlate model numbers, not sportsbook lines.

How to read the NFL survivor map 2026

Rows are teams. Columns are weeks. Each cell shows who they play, with @ for road games, then the spread and the win chance from that team’s side. A minus spread means they are favored. PK means it’s a toss-up.

Color helps you scan. Darker means a better chance to win, but the number is always there too. Blank cells are byes. A globe means the game is overseas, so nobody gets a home edge. Once a game is played, the cell shows the result.

Click a week to sort it by win chance. Click again to flip it. Home only fades the road games so you can find home favorites fast.

Best survivor picks Week 1 2026 by win probability

The five best win chances this week, from our preseason ratings. One caution: the biggest favorite is also the most popular pick. If it loses, half your pool goes out with you. Check Future Value before you spend a team you might want in December.

1. Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals: 84%, model spread −11.5.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns: 77%, model spread −8.5.
3. Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders: 73%, model spread −7.
4. Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints: 71%, model spread −6.
5. Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins: 67%, model spread −5.

Which teams to save for later in survivor 2026

Future Value is a simple score. For every game a team has left, we take its win chance minus 50 and add up the positives. A team with 70, 62, and 45 left scores 20 + 12 + 0 = 32. A high number means the team has a lot of good weeks still to come. Those are the ones to hold.

How MockSlate calculates survivor win odds

Every team has one rating. We set it before the season from win totals and update it after every game. Home teams get a small edge, unless the game is overseas or at a neutral site. A team coming off a bye gets a smaller one. The win chance and the spread both come from the gap between the two ratings. Every MockSlate tool uses the same ratings, so a game never shows two different numbers on two pages.

NFL Survivor Map 2026 FAQ

Can I use the map for Circa Survivor?

This is the standard 18-week map. It still shows every Thanksgiving and Christmas game inside Weeks 12 and 16. The Circa version, with the two holiday legs as their own columns, is the Circa Survivor 2026 Map.

Does the map handle Splash double-pick weeks?

Not on this page. The Splash version marks the six double weeks and scores two picks together: the Splash Survivor 2026 Map.

Are these sportsbook lines?

No. They come from our own ratings. They are model numbers, not betting prices.

Updated: September 5, 2026 · Ratings snapshot: preseason