NFL Survivor Map 2026

See every team's 2026 survivor schedule and win probability in one place. Each week shows the opponent, MockSlate's projected spread, and the team's chance to win. Mark teams as you use them, find each team's best remaining week, and see which favorites may be worth saving for later.

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2026 survivor map (standard), 32 teams by 18 pick columns: opponent, model spread, win probability
																			Best Wkhighest win %
ARI	W 26–14@LAC	L 7–31SEA	L 30–36@SF	L 24–36@NYG	L 21–45DET	W 18–16@LAR	L 16–30DEN	@DAL+9.5 · 21%	@SEA+11 · 17%	LAR+8 · 24%	@KC+12 · 15%	WAS+1.5 · 45%	PHI+5.5 · 32%	Bye	NYJ−1 · 54%	@NO+7 · 26%	LV+0.5 · 48%	SF+8 · 24%	W15	4
ATL	L 13–20@PIT	L 3–34CAR	W 35–14@GB	W 45–24@NO	L 23–30BAL	L 23–31CHI	W 29–20SF	@TB+3.5 · 37%	CIN+5 · 32%	KC+4 · 36%	Bye	@MIN+6.5 · 29%	DET+3.5 · 37%	@CLE+2 · 43%	@WAS+2 · 42%	TB−0.5 · 53%	NO−0.5 · 53%	@CAR+3.5 · 38%	W16	6
BAL	W 41–23@IND	L 17–24NO	W 34–31@DAL	W 24–18TEN	W 30–23@ATL	L 10–13@CLE	L 13–35CIN	@BUF+5 · 33%	JAX−2.5 · 59%	LAC−5 · 68%	@CAR−2 · 58%	@HOU+1 · 47%	Bye	TB−7.5 · 74%	@PITPK · 51%	CLE−8 · 76%	@CIN+2 · 44%	PIT−4.5 · 66%	W16	102
BUF	W 36–31@HOU	W 41–31DET	W 24–16LAC	L 26–29NE	W 37–34@LAR	W 33–30@LV	Bye	BAL−5 · 67%	@MINPK · 50%	@NYJ−6.5 · 72%	MIA−14.5 · 89%	KC−3.5 · 62%	@NEPK · 50%	@GB−0.5 · 51%	CHI−5 · 67%	@DEN+0.5 · 48%	@MIA−10 · 81%	NYJ−11 · 83%	W11	172
CAR	L 37–59CHI	W 34–3@ATL	L 18–21@CLE	W 32–26DET	Bye	W 25–14@PHI	L 13–43TB	@GB+5.5 · 30%	DEN+2.5 · 42%	@NO+2.5 · 41%	BAL+2 · 42%	@TB+2.5 · 41%	@MIN+6 · 29%	NO−2 · 57%	CIN+1.5 · 44%	@PIT+4 · 36%	SEA+2 · 43%	ATL−3.5 · 62%	W18	19
CHI	W 59–37@CAR	L 3–9MIN	W 27–7PHI	W 23–12NYJ	L 7–31@GB	W 31–23@ATL	W 30–24NE	@SEA+3 · 40%	TB−5.5 · 69%	Bye	NO−6.5 · 72%	@DET+3.5 · 38%	JAX−2 · 57%	@MIA−7.5 · 75%	@BUF+5 · 33%	GB−2 · 58%	DET−1 · 54%	@MIN+2.5 · 41%	W14	85
CIN	W 33–27TB	W 20–6@HOU	L 27–30@PIT	L 17–22JAX	W 31–24@MIA	Bye	W 35–13@BAL	TEN−9 · 79%	@ATL−5 · 68%	PIT−3 · 61%	@WAS−3 · 60%	NO−6 · 70%	@CLE−3.5 · 62%	KC−1 · 54%	@CAR−1.5 · 56%	@IND−1.5 · 55%	BAL−2 · 56%	CLE−7.5 · 75%	W8	146
CLE	L 10–34@JAX	W 23–19@TB	W 21–18CAR	W 27–24PIT	L 12–17@NYJ	W 13–10BAL	W 27–24@TEN	@PIT+5.5 · 31%	@NO+5 · 33%	HOU+2.5 · 41%	Bye	LV−3.5 · 63%	CIN+3.5 · 38%	ATL−2 · 57%	@NYG+4 · 36%	@BAL+8 · 24%	INDPK · 51%	@CIN+7.5 · 25%	W12	21
DAL	L 20–28@NYG	W 37–20WAS	L 31–34BAL	W 34–30@HOU	L 16–24TB	L 13–23@GB	@PHI+2.5 · 41%	ARI−9.5 · 79%	@INDPK · 49%	SF+1 · 47%	TEN−7.5 · 75%	PHI−2 · 56%	@SEA+4 · 36%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	JAX−1 · 53%	NYG−4.5 · 65%	@WAS−1.5 · 55%	W8	83
DEN	L 10–31@KC	W 20–13JAX	W 30–26LAR	L 14–24@SF	W 23–17@LAC	W 17–14SEA	W 30–16@ARI	KC−2 · 57%	@CAR−2.5 · 58%	Bye	LV−10 · 80%	@PIT−0.5 · 52%	MIA−13 · 87%	@NYJ−4 · 64%	@LV−4.5 · 65%	BUF−0.5 · 52%	@NE+1.5 · 44%	LAC−5.5 · 69%	W13	134
DET	W 31–30NO	L 31–41@BUF	W 31–24NYJ	L 26–32@CAR	W 45–21@ARI	Bye	W 20–17GB	MIN−3 · 60%	@MIA−8.5 · 78%	NE−0.5 · 52%	TB−5.5 · 69%	CHI−3.5 · 62%	@ATL−3.5 · 63%	TEN−10 · 81%	@MIN+1.5 · 45%	NYG−6.5 · 72%	@CHI+1 · 46%	@GB+1 · 46%	W14	137
GB	L 22–39@MIN	W 20–17@NYJ	L 14–35ATL	W 17–14@TB	W 31–7CHI	W 23–13DAL	L 17–20@DET	CAR−5.5 · 70%	@NE+2.5 · 41%	MIN−2 · 57%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	@NO−1 · 54%	BUF+0.5 · 49%	MIA−12 · 85%	@CHI+2 · 42%	HOU−2.5 · 60%	DET−1 · 54%	W15	80
HOU	L 31–36BUF	L 6–20CIN	L 17–19@IND	L 30–34DAL	W 26–3@TEN	W 34–31@JAX	L 21–27NYG	Bye	@LAC−0.5 · 52%	@CLE−2.5 · 59%	IND−5 · 67%	BAL−1 · 53%	@PIT+1 · 46%	@WAS−2 · 57%	JAX−1.5 · 55%	@PHI+2 · 43%	@GB+2.5 · 40%	TEN−8.5 · 77%	W18	70
IND	L 23–41BAL	L 30–33@KC	W 19–17HOU	W 30–13@WAS	L 22–34@PIT	L 20–26TEN	L 10–16@MIN	@JAX+6.5 · 28%	DALPK · 51%	MIA−9 · 78%	@HOU+5 · 33%	NYG−2.5 · 58%	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	@TEN−1 · 54%	CIN+1.5 · 45%	@CLEPK · 49%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	W10	41
JAX	W 34–10CLE	L 13–20@DEN	W 35–6NE	W 22–17@CIN	W 19–17PHI	L 31–34HOU	Bye	IND−6.5 · 72%	@BAL+2.5 · 41%	@TEN−3.5 · 63%	@NYG−1.5 · 55%	TEN−9 · 79%	@CHI+2 · 43%	PIT−4 · 64%	@HOU+1.5 · 45%	@DAL+1 · 47%	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@IND−1.5 · 55%	W12	112
KC	W 31–10DEN	W 33–30IND	W 24–10@MIA	W 30–27@LV	Bye	W 22–6LAC	L 3–20@SEA	@DEN+2 · 43%	NYJ−10 · 80%	@ATL−4 · 64%	ARI−12 · 85%	@BUF+3.5 · 38%	@LAR+2.5 · 41%	@CIN+1 · 46%	NE−3 · 61%	SF−1.5 · 56%	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	LV−9 · 79%	W11	130
LAC	L 14–26ARI	L 14–26LV	L 16–24@BUF	L 23–30@SEA	L 17–23DEN	L 6–22@KC	Bye	@LAR+5 · 32%	HOU+0.5 · 48%	@BAL+5 · 32%	NYJ−6 · 71%	NE+1.5 · 45%	@TB+1 · 46%	@LVPK · 50%	SF+2 · 43%	@MIA−5.5 · 68%	KC+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+5.5 · 31%	W11	39
LAR	L 7–27SF	W 28–6NYG	L 26–30@DEN	W 24–20@PHI	L 34–37BUF	L 16–18ARI	W 35–21@LV	LAC−5 · 68%	@WAS−4.5 · 65%	@ARI−8 · 76%	Bye	GB−4 · 64%	KC−2.5 · 59%	@SF+2.5 · 42%	DAL−4 · 64%	@SEA+1 · 46%	@TB−3 · 60%	SEA−3.5 · 62%	W10	118
LV	W 27–13MIA	W 26–14@LAC	W 35–27@NO	L 27–30KC	L 17–45@NE	L 30–33BUF	L 21–35LAR	@NYJ+1.5 · 44%	@SF+10.5 · 18%	SEA+4 · 36%	@DEN+10 · 20%	@CLE+3.5 · 37%	Bye	LACPK · 50%	DEN+4.5 · 35%	TEN−3 · 61%	@ARI−0.5 · 52%	@KC+9 · 21%	W16	13
MIA	L 13–27@LV	L 13–35@SF	L 10–24KC	L 10–15@MIN	L 24–31CIN	Bye	W 28–25@NYJ	NE+8 · 24%	DET+8.5 · 22%	@IND+9 · 22%	@BUF+14.5 · 11%	NYJ+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+13 · 13%	CHI+7.5 · 25%	@GB+12 · 15%	LAC+5.5 · 32%	BUF+10 · 19%	@NE+12.5 · 14%	W12	0
MIN	W 39–22GB	W 9–3@CHI	W 23–16@TB	W 15–10MIA	W 23–13@NO	Bye	W 16–10IND	@DET+3 · 40%	BUFPK · 50%	@GB+2 · 43%	@SF+1.5 · 44%	ATL−6.5 · 71%	CAR−6 · 71%	@NE+2.5 · 42%	DET−1.5 · 55%	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@NYJ−4.5 · 65%	CHI−2.5 · 59%	W16	95
NE	L 10–13@SEA	W 20–3PIT	L 6–35@JAX	W 29–26@BUF	W 45–17LV	W 26–19NYJ	L 24–30@CHI	@MIA−8 · 76%	GB−2.5 · 59%	@DET+0.5 · 48%	Bye	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	BUFPK · 50%	MIN−2.5 · 58%	@KC+3 · 39%	@NYJ−4.5 · 66%	DEN−1.5 · 56%	MIA−12.5 · 86%	W18	106
NO	L 30–31@DET	W 24–17@BAL	L 27–35LV	L 24–45ATL	L 13–23MIN	W 34–27@NYG	L 10–16PIT	Bye	CLE−5 · 67%	CAR−2.5 · 59%	@CHI+6.5 · 28%	@CIN+6 · 30%	GB+1 · 46%	@CAR+2 · 43%	@TB+2 · 42%	ARI−7 · 74%	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	TB−2 · 58%	W16	58
NYG	W 28–20DAL	L 6–28@LAR	W 12–7TEN	W 36–24ARI	T 27–27@WAS	L 27–34NO	W 27–21@HOU	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	WAS−3.5 · 63%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	@IND+2.5 · 42%	SF+3 · 39%	@SEA+6 · 29%	CLE−4 · 64%	@DET+6.5 · 28%	@DAL+4.5 · 35%	PHI+0.5 · 49%	W15	27
NYJ	W 23–10@TEN	L 17–20GB	L 24–31@DET	L 12–23@CHI	W 17–12CLE	L 19–26@NE	L 25–28MIA	LV−1.5 · 56%	@KC+10 · 20%	BUF+6.5 · 28%	@LAC+6 · 29%	@MIA−1.5 · 55%	Bye	DEN+4 · 36%	@ARI+1 · 46%	NE+4.5 · 34%	MIN+4.5 · 35%	@BUF+11 · 17%	W8	11
PHI	W 24–22WAS	W 24–20@TEN	L 7–27@CHI	L 20–24LAR	L 17–19@JAX	L 14–25CAR	DAL−2.5 · 59%	@WAS−1 · 53%	NYG−3.5 · 63%	Bye	PIT−4 · 64%	@DAL+2 · 44%	@ARI−5.5 · 68%	IND−3.5 · 63%	SEA−1 · 53%	HOU−2 · 57%	@SF+5 · 33%	@NYG−0.5 · 51%	W13	81
PIT	W 20–13ATL	L 3–20@NE	W 30–27CIN	L 24–27@CLE	W 34–22IND	W 26–19@TB	W 16–10@NO	CLE−5.5 · 69%	Bye	@CIN+3 · 39%	@PHI+4 · 36%	DEN+0.5 · 48%	HOU−1 · 54%	@JAX+4 · 36%	BALPK · 49%	CAR−4 · 64%	@TEN−3 · 60%	@BAL+4.5 · 34%	W8	47
SEA	W 13–10NE	W 31–7@ARI	L 31–33@WAS	W 30–23LAC	L 29–32SF	L 14–17@DEN	W 20–3KC	CHI−3 · 60%	ARI−11 · 83%	@LV−4 · 64%	Bye	@SF+2.5 · 41%	DAL−4 · 64%	NYG−6 · 71%	@PHI+1 · 47%	LAR−1 · 54%	@CAR−2 · 57%	@LAR+3.5 · 38%	W9	103
SF	W 27–7@LAR	W 35–13MIA	W 36–30ARI	W 24–14DEN	W 32–29@SEA	W 23–17WAS	L 20–29@ATL	Bye	LV−10.5 · 82%	@DAL−1 · 53%	MIN−1.5 · 56%	SEA−2.5 · 59%	@NYG−3 · 61%	LAR−2.5 · 58%	@LAC−2 · 57%	@KC+1.5 · 44%	PHI−5 · 67%	@ARI−8 · 76%	W9	119
TB	L 27–33@CIN	L 19–23CLE	L 16–23MIN	L 14–17GB	W 24–16@DAL	L 19–26PIT	W 43–13@CAR	ATL−3.5 · 63%	@CHI+5.5 · 31%	Bye	@DET+5.5 · 31%	CAR−2.5 · 59%	LAC−1 · 54%	@BAL+7.5 · 26%	NO−2 · 58%	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	LAR+3 · 40%	@NO+2 · 42%	W8	34
TEN	L 10–23NYJ	L 20–24PHI	L 7–12@NYG	L 18–24@BAL	L 3–26HOU	W 26–20@IND	L 24–27CLE	@CIN+9 · 21%	Bye	JAX+3.5 · 37%	@DAL+7.5 · 25%	@JAX+9 · 21%	WAS−0.5 · 51%	@DET+10 · 19%	IND+1 · 46%	@LV+3 · 39%	PIT+3 · 40%	@HOU+8.5 · 23%	W13	1
WAS	L 22–24@PHI	L 20–37@DAL	W 33–31SEA	L 13–30IND	T 27–27NYG	L 17–23@SF	Bye	PHI+1 · 47%	LAR+4.5 · 35%	@NYG+3.5 · 37%	CIN+3 · 40%	@ARI−1.5 · 55%	@TEN+0.5 · 49%	HOU+2 · 43%	ATL−2 · 58%	@MIN+7.5 · 26%	@JAX+7.5 · 26%	DAL+1.5 · 45%	W15	13

These are MockSlate model numbers, not sportsbook lines.

How to read the NFL survivor map 2026

Each team runs across all 18 weeks of the season. Every game shows the opponent, projected spread, and win probability from that team’s perspective. @ means the team is on the road, a minus spread means it is favored, and PK means the game is projected as even. Darker boxes mean a higher chance to win. Bye weeks are left open, and completed games switch to the actual result. Click a week to sort it by win chance. Home only fades the road games.

Playing Circa or Splash? How the two $20 million survivor contests differ in 2026.

Want this week’s primetime lines on their own? Every team’s 2026 night games, and the Sunday afternoon games the league can still flex, are in the Primetime Count.

Wondering whose road gets harder from here? Every team’s remaining opponents by record and by rating are in the Remaining Strength of Schedule.

Watching the other end of the standings? The same win chances add up to projected wins in the Draft Order Tracker, which shows who picks where in 2027 today and by the road ahead.

Best survivor picks Week 7 2026 by win probability

The five best win chances this week, from our ratings through Week 6. One caution: the biggest favorite is also the most popular pick. If it loses, half your pool goes out with you. Check Future Value before you spend a team you might want in December.

1. Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys: 59%, model spread −2.5.
2. Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 41%, model spread +2.5.

Which teams to save for later in survivor 2026

Future Value is MockSlate’s quick way of showing how useful a team may be later in the season. For every game a team has left, we take its win chance minus 50 and add up the positives. A team with 70, 62, and 45 left scores 20 + 12 + 0 = 32. A high number means the team has a lot of good weeks still to come. Those are the ones to hold.

How MockSlate calculates survivor win odds

Every team has one rating. We set it before the season from win totals and update it after every game. Home teams get a small edge, unless the game is overseas or at a neutral site. A team coming off a bye gets a smaller one. The win chance and the spread both come from the gap between the two ratings. Every MockSlate tool uses the same ratings, so a game never shows two different numbers on two pages. They also score every team’s toughest run of games in the Worst Stretch Finder.

NFL Survivor Map 2026 FAQ

Can I use the map for Circa Survivor?

This is the standard 18-week map. It still shows every Thanksgiving and Christmas game inside Weeks 12 and 16. The Circa version, with the two holiday legs as their own columns, is the Circa Survivor 2026 Map.

Does the map handle Splash double-pick weeks?

Not on this page. The Splash version marks the six double weeks and scores two picks together: the Splash Survivor 2026 Map.

Are these sportsbook lines?

No. They come from our own ratings. They are model numbers, not betting prices.

Updated: October 26, 2026 · Ratings snapshot: Week 6