Circa Survivor 2026 Map

Plan all 20 Circa Survivor picks before the season gets tight.

Plan all 20 Circa Survivor rounds in one place: the 18 regular-season weeks plus separate Thanksgiving and Christmas rounds. Holiday games appear only in their Circa holiday round, so every matchup is shown once. Each game includes MockSlate’s projected spread and win probability, and Future Value looks ahead across the full contest.

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2026 survivor map (circa), 32 teams by 20 pick columns: opponent, model spread, win probability
																					Best Wkhighest win %
ARI	W 26–14@LAC	L 7–31SEA	L 30–36@SF	L 24–36@NYG	L 21–45DET	W 18–16@LAR	L 16–30DEN	@DAL+9.5 · 21%	@SEA+11 · 17%	LAR+8 · 24%	@KC+12 · 15%	Bye	WAS+1.5 · 45%	PHI+5.5 · 32%	Bye	NYJ−1 · 54%	Bye	@NO+7 · 26%	LV+0.5 · 48%	SF+8 · 24%	W15	4
ATL	L 13–20@PIT	L 3–34CAR	W 35–14@GB	W 45–24@NO	L 23–30BAL	L 23–31CHI	W 29–20SF	@TB+3.5 · 37%	CIN+5 · 32%	KC+4 · 36%	Bye	Bye	@MIN+6.5 · 29%	DET+3.5 · 37%	@CLE+2 · 43%	@WAS+2 · 42%	Bye	TB−0.5 · 53%	NO−0.5 · 53%	@CAR+3.5 · 38%	W16	6
BAL	W 41–23@IND	L 17–24NO	W 34–31@DAL	W 24–18TEN	W 30–23@ATL	L 10–13@CLE	L 13–35CIN	@BUF+5 · 33%	JAX−2.5 · 59%	LAC−5 · 68%	@CAR−2 · 58%	Bye	@HOU+1 · 47%	Bye	TB−7.5 · 74%	@PITPK · 51%	Bye	CLE−8 · 76%	@CIN+2 · 44%	PIT−4.5 · 66%	W16	102
BUF	W 36–31@HOU	W 41–31DET	W 24–16LAC	L 26–29NE	W 37–34@LAR	W 33–30@LV	Bye	BAL−5 · 67%	@MINPK · 50%	@NYJ−6.5 · 72%	MIA−14.5 · 89%	KC−3.5 · 62%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@NEPK · 50%	@GB−0.5 · 51%	CHI−5 · 67%	@DEN+0.5 · 48%	Game in the Christmas leg	@MIA−10 · 81%	NYJ−11 · 83%	W11	172
CAR	L 37–59CHI	W 34–3@ATL	L 18–21@CLE	W 32–26DET	Bye	W 25–14@PHI	L 13–43TB	@GB+5.5 · 30%	DEN+2.5 · 42%	@NO+2.5 · 41%	BAL+2 · 42%	Bye	@TB+2.5 · 41%	@MIN+6 · 29%	NO−2 · 57%	CIN+1.5 · 44%	Bye	@PIT+4 · 36%	SEA+2 · 43%	ATL−3.5 · 62%	W18	19
CHI	W 59–37@CAR	L 3–9MIN	W 27–7PHI	W 23–12NYJ	L 7–31@GB	W 31–23@ATL	W 30–24NE	@SEA+3 · 40%	TB−5.5 · 69%	Bye	NO−6.5 · 72%	@DET+3.5 · 38%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	JAX−2 · 57%	@MIA−7.5 · 75%	@BUF+5 · 33%	GB−2 · 58%	Game in the Christmas leg	DET−1 · 54%	@MIN+2.5 · 41%	W14	85
CIN	W 33–27TB	W 20–6@HOU	L 27–30@PIT	L 17–22JAX	W 31–24@MIA	Bye	W 35–13@BAL	TEN−9 · 79%	@ATL−5 · 68%	PIT−3 · 61%	@WAS−3 · 60%	Bye	NO−6 · 70%	@CLE−3.5 · 62%	KC−1 · 54%	@CAR−1.5 · 56%	Bye	@IND−1.5 · 55%	BAL−2 · 56%	CLE−7.5 · 75%	W8	146
CLE	L 10–34@JAX	W 23–19@TB	W 21–18CAR	W 27–24PIT	L 12–17@NYJ	W 13–10BAL	W 27–24@TEN	@PIT+5.5 · 31%	@NO+5 · 33%	HOU+2.5 · 41%	Bye	Bye	LV−3.5 · 63%	CIN+3.5 · 38%	ATL−2 · 57%	@NYG+4 · 36%	Bye	@BAL+8 · 24%	INDPK · 51%	@CIN+7.5 · 25%	W12	21
DAL	L 20–28@NYG	W 37–20WAS	L 31–34BAL	W 34–30@HOU	L 16–24TB	L 13–23@GB	@PHI+2.5 · 41%	ARI−9.5 · 79%	@INDPK · 49%	SF+1 · 47%	TEN−7.5 · 75%	PHI−2 · 56%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@SEA+4 · 36%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	Bye	JAX−1 · 53%	NYG−4.5 · 65%	@WAS−1.5 · 55%	W8	83
DEN	L 10–31@KC	W 20–13JAX	W 30–26LAR	L 14–24@SF	W 23–17@LAC	W 17–14SEA	W 30–16@ARI	KC−2 · 57%	@CAR−2.5 · 58%	Bye	LV−10 · 80%	@PIT−0.5 · 52%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	MIA−13 · 87%	@NYJ−4 · 64%	@LV−4.5 · 65%	BUF−0.5 · 52%	Game in the Christmas leg	@NE+1.5 · 44%	LAC−5.5 · 69%	W13	134
DET	W 31–30NO	L 31–41@BUF	W 31–24NYJ	L 26–32@CAR	W 45–21@ARI	Bye	W 20–17GB	MIN−3 · 60%	@MIA−8.5 · 78%	NE−0.5 · 52%	TB−5.5 · 69%	CHI−3.5 · 62%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@ATL−3.5 · 63%	TEN−10 · 81%	@MIN+1.5 · 45%	Bye	NYG−6.5 · 72%	@CHI+1 · 46%	@GB+1 · 46%	W14	137
GB	L 22–39@MIN	W 20–17@NYJ	L 14–35ATL	W 17–14@TB	W 31–7CHI	W 23–13DAL	L 17–20@DET	CAR−5.5 · 70%	@NE+2.5 · 41%	MIN−2 · 57%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@NO−1 · 54%	BUF+0.5 · 49%	MIA−12 · 85%	@CHI+2 · 42%	Game in the Christmas leg	HOU−2.5 · 60%	DET−1 · 54%	W15	80
HOU	L 31–36BUF	L 6–20CIN	L 17–19@IND	L 30–34DAL	W 26–3@TEN	W 34–31@JAX	L 21–27NYG	Bye	@LAC−0.5 · 52%	@CLE−2.5 · 59%	IND−5 · 67%	Bye	BAL−1 · 53%	@PIT+1 · 46%	@WAS−2 · 57%	JAX−1.5 · 55%	@PHI+2 · 43%	Game in the Christmas leg	@GB+2.5 · 40%	TEN−8.5 · 77%	W18	70
IND	L 23–41BAL	L 30–33@KC	W 19–17HOU	W 30–13@WAS	L 22–34@PIT	L 20–26TEN	L 10–16@MIN	@JAX+6.5 · 28%	DALPK · 51%	MIA−9 · 78%	@HOU+5 · 33%	Bye	NYG−2.5 · 58%	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	@TEN−1 · 54%	Bye	CIN+1.5 · 45%	@CLEPK · 49%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	W10	41
JAX	W 34–10CLE	L 13–20@DEN	W 35–6NE	W 22–17@CIN	W 19–17PHI	L 31–34HOU	Bye	IND−6.5 · 72%	@BAL+2.5 · 41%	@TEN−3.5 · 63%	@NYG−1.5 · 55%	Bye	TEN−9 · 79%	@CHI+2 · 43%	PIT−4 · 64%	@HOU+1.5 · 45%	Bye	@DAL+1 · 47%	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@IND−1.5 · 55%	W12	112
KC	W 31–10DEN	W 33–30IND	W 24–10@MIA	W 30–27@LV	Bye	W 22–6LAC	L 3–20@SEA	@DEN+2 · 43%	NYJ−10 · 80%	@ATL−4 · 64%	ARI−12 · 85%	@BUF+3.5 · 38%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@LAR+2.5 · 41%	@CIN+1 · 46%	NE−3 · 61%	Bye	SF−1.5 · 56%	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	LV−9 · 79%	W11	130
LAC	L 14–26ARI	L 14–26LV	L 16–24@BUF	L 23–30@SEA	L 17–23DEN	L 6–22@KC	Bye	@LAR+5 · 32%	HOU+0.5 · 48%	@BAL+5 · 32%	NYJ−6 · 71%	Bye	NE+1.5 · 45%	@TB+1 · 46%	@LVPK · 50%	SF+2 · 43%	Bye	@MIA−5.5 · 68%	KC+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+5.5 · 31%	W11	39
LAR	L 7–27SF	W 28–6NYG	L 26–30@DEN	W 24–20@PHI	L 34–37BUF	L 16–18ARI	W 35–21@LV	LAC−5 · 68%	@WAS−4.5 · 65%	@ARI−8 · 76%	Bye	GB−4 · 64%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	KC−2.5 · 59%	@SF+2.5 · 42%	DAL−4 · 64%	@SEA+1 · 46%	Game in the Christmas leg	@TB−3 · 60%	SEA−3.5 · 62%	W10	118
LV	W 27–13MIA	W 26–14@LAC	W 35–27@NO	L 27–30KC	L 17–45@NE	L 30–33BUF	L 21–35LAR	@NYJ+1.5 · 44%	@SF+10.5 · 18%	SEA+4 · 36%	@DEN+10 · 20%	Bye	@CLE+3.5 · 37%	Bye	LACPK · 50%	DEN+4.5 · 35%	Bye	TEN−3 · 61%	@ARI−0.5 · 52%	@KC+9 · 21%	W16	13
MIA	L 13–27@LV	L 13–35@SF	L 10–24KC	L 10–15@MIN	L 24–31CIN	Bye	W 28–25@NYJ	NE+8 · 24%	DET+8.5 · 22%	@IND+9 · 22%	@BUF+14.5 · 11%	Bye	NYJ+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+13 · 13%	CHI+7.5 · 25%	@GB+12 · 15%	Bye	LAC+5.5 · 32%	BUF+10 · 19%	@NE+12.5 · 14%	W12	0
MIN	W 39–22GB	W 9–3@CHI	W 23–16@TB	W 15–10MIA	W 23–13@NO	Bye	W 16–10IND	@DET+3 · 40%	BUFPK · 50%	@GB+2 · 43%	@SF+1.5 · 44%	Bye	ATL−6.5 · 71%	CAR−6 · 71%	@NE+2.5 · 42%	DET−1.5 · 55%	Bye	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@NYJ−4.5 · 65%	CHI−2.5 · 59%	W16	95
NE	L 10–13@SEA	W 20–3PIT	L 6–35@JAX	W 29–26@BUF	W 45–17LV	W 26–19NYJ	L 24–30@CHI	@MIA−8 · 76%	GB−2.5 · 59%	@DET+0.5 · 48%	Bye	Bye	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	BUFPK · 50%	MIN−2.5 · 58%	@KC+3 · 39%	Bye	@NYJ−4.5 · 66%	DEN−1.5 · 56%	MIA−12.5 · 86%	W18	106
NO	L 30–31@DET	W 24–17@BAL	L 27–35LV	L 24–45ATL	L 13–23MIN	W 34–27@NYG	L 10–16PIT	Bye	CLE−5 · 67%	CAR−2.5 · 59%	@CHI+6.5 · 28%	Bye	@CIN+6 · 30%	GB+1 · 46%	@CAR+2 · 43%	@TB+2 · 42%	Bye	ARI−7 · 74%	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	TB−2 · 58%	W16	58
NYG	W 28–20DAL	L 6–28@LAR	W 12–7TEN	W 36–24ARI	T 27–27@WAS	L 27–34NO	W 27–21@HOU	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	WAS−3.5 · 63%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	Bye	@IND+2.5 · 42%	SF+3 · 39%	@SEA+6 · 29%	CLE−4 · 64%	Bye	@DET+6.5 · 28%	@DAL+4.5 · 35%	PHI+0.5 · 49%	W15	27
NYJ	W 23–10@TEN	L 17–20GB	L 24–31@DET	L 12–23@CHI	W 17–12CLE	L 19–26@NE	L 25–28MIA	LV−1.5 · 56%	@KC+10 · 20%	BUF+6.5 · 28%	@LAC+6 · 29%	Bye	@MIA−1.5 · 55%	Bye	DEN+4 · 36%	@ARI+1 · 46%	Bye	NE+4.5 · 34%	MIN+4.5 · 35%	@BUF+11 · 17%	W8	11
PHI	W 24–22WAS	W 24–20@TEN	L 7–27@CHI	L 20–24LAR	L 17–19@JAX	L 14–25CAR	DAL−2.5 · 59%	@WAS−1 · 53%	NYG−3.5 · 63%	Bye	PIT−4 · 64%	@DAL+2 · 44%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	@ARI−5.5 · 68%	IND−3.5 · 63%	SEA−1 · 53%	HOU−2 · 57%	Game in the Christmas leg	@SF+5 · 33%	@NYG−0.5 · 51%	W13	81
PIT	W 20–13ATL	L 3–20@NE	W 30–27CIN	L 24–27@CLE	W 34–22IND	W 26–19@TB	W 16–10@NO	CLE−5.5 · 69%	Bye	@CIN+3 · 39%	@PHI+4 · 36%	DEN+0.5 · 48%	Game in the Thanksgiving leg	HOU−1 · 54%	@JAX+4 · 36%	BALPK · 49%	Bye	CAR−4 · 64%	@TEN−3 · 60%	@BAL+4.5 · 34%	W8	47
SEA	W 13–10NE	W 31–7@ARI	L 31–33@WAS	W 30–23LAC	L 29–32SF	L 14–17@DEN	W 20–3KC	CHI−3 · 60%	ARI−11 · 83%	@LV−4 · 64%	Bye	Bye	@SF+2.5 · 41%	DAL−4 · 64%	NYG−6 · 71%	@PHI+1 · 47%	LAR−1 · 54%	Game in the Christmas leg	@CAR−2 · 57%	@LAR+3.5 · 38%	W9	103
SF	W 27–7@LAR	W 35–13MIA	W 36–30ARI	W 24–14DEN	W 32–29@SEA	W 23–17WAS	L 20–29@ATL	Bye	LV−10.5 · 82%	@DAL−1 · 53%	MIN−1.5 · 56%	Bye	SEA−2.5 · 59%	@NYG−3 · 61%	LAR−2.5 · 58%	@LAC−2 · 57%	Bye	@KC+1.5 · 44%	PHI−5 · 67%	@ARI−8 · 76%	W9	119
TB	L 27–33@CIN	L 19–23CLE	L 16–23MIN	L 14–17GB	W 24–16@DAL	L 19–26PIT	W 43–13@CAR	ATL−3.5 · 63%	@CHI+5.5 · 31%	Bye	@DET+5.5 · 31%	Bye	CAR−2.5 · 59%	LAC−1 · 54%	@BAL+7.5 · 26%	NO−2 · 58%	Bye	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	LAR+3 · 40%	@NO+2 · 42%	W8	34
TEN	L 10–23NYJ	L 20–24PHI	L 7–12@NYG	L 18–24@BAL	L 3–26HOU	W 26–20@IND	L 24–27CLE	@CIN+9 · 21%	Bye	JAX+3.5 · 37%	@DAL+7.5 · 25%	Bye	@JAX+9 · 21%	WAS−0.5 · 51%	@DET+10 · 19%	IND+1 · 46%	Bye	@LV+3 · 39%	PIT+3 · 40%	@HOU+8.5 · 23%	W13	1
WAS	L 22–24@PHI	L 20–37@DAL	W 33–31SEA	L 13–30IND	T 27–27NYG	L 17–23@SF	Bye	PHI+1 · 47%	LAR+4.5 · 35%	@NYG+3.5 · 37%	CIN+3 · 40%	Bye	@ARI−1.5 · 55%	@TEN+0.5 · 49%	HOU+2 · 43%	ATL−2 · 58%	Bye	@MIN+7.5 · 26%	@JAX+7.5 · 26%	DAL+1.5 · 45%	W15	13

These are MockSlate model numbers, not sportsbook lines.

MockSlate is not affiliated with Circa Sports or Splash Sports.

Leg dates confirmed from Circa rules, September 5, 2026.

Circa Survivor 2026 Thanksgiving leg picks

Circa treats Thanksgiving as a separate survivor round. For 2026, that round includes the 5 games played Wednesday through Friday of Thanksgiving week. Those games count toward the Thanksgiving round rather than Week 12. Favorites by our ratings through Week 6:

1. Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers: 64%, model spread −4.
2. Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs: 62%, model spread −3.5.
3. Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears: 62%, model spread −3.5.
4. Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: 56%, model spread −2.
5. Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers: 52%, model spread −0.5.

Circa Survivor 2026 Christmas leg picks

Circa’s Christmas round includes the 4 games played Thursday through Saturday of Christmas week. Those games count here rather than in the regular Week 16 round. Favorites by our ratings through Week 6:

1. Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers: 58%, model spread −2.
2. Philadelphia Eagles vs Houston Texans: 57%, model spread −2.
3. Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams: 54%, model spread −1.
4. Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills: 52%, model spread −0.5.

How the 20-leg Circa Survivor format changes your path

Twenty legs means twenty teams, so you spend more than half the league by the end. The two holiday legs have only a handful of games each, which makes them the tightest spots on the board: fewer favorites to choose from, and everyone in the contest is choosing from the same short list. Look at the TG and XM columns first and work backward, holding a team that is a clear favorite in one of those legs. Future Value on this page counts all 20 columns; a holiday game counts once, in its leg column, so the total matches the Standard map while the column tells you where the value sits.

Circa Survivor 2026 rules in brief

Twenty legs: the 18 regular-season weeks plus a Thanksgiving leg and a Christmas leg.
One team per leg, and no team can be used twice across the 20.
The holiday legs contain only the games played on those days; those games are not part of the surrounding week’s leg.
The Thanksgiving leg covers Thanksgiving Eve, Thanksgiving Day, and Black Friday; the Christmas leg covers Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Full rules, entry details, and prize structure are on Circa Sports’ site.

Circa Survivor 2026 Map FAQ

Can I use the map for Circa Survivor?

Yes. This page is built for Circa Survivor's 20-leg format: 18 weekly columns plus the Thanksgiving and Christmas legs. Your picks here are kept separately from the Standard and Splash maps.

Does the map handle Splash double-pick weeks?

Not on this page. The Splash version marks the six double weeks and scores two picks together: the Splash Survivor 2026 Map.

Are these sportsbook lines?

No. They come from our own ratings. They are model numbers, not betting prices.

Updated: October 26, 2026 · Ratings snapshot: Week 6