Splash Survivor 2026 Map

Plan your Splash Survivor picks across the entire 2026 season — including all six double-pick weeks.

Plan your 2026 Splash Survivor picks week by week, including all six double-pick weeks. You need two winners in Week 9 and Weeks 12 to 16, and both picks must win to advance. Every matchup shows MockSlate’s projected spread and win probability, while Future Value helps show which teams may be more valuable to save for the double-pick stretch.

Home onlyHide used teamsPicks: 0 · Teams used: 0 · Showing 32 of 32 · Saved in this browser

2026 survivor map (splash), 32 teams by 18 pick columns: opponent, model spread, win probability
																			Best Wkhighest win %
ARI	W 26–14@LAC	L 7–31SEA	L 30–36@SF	L 24–36@NYG	L 21–45DET	W 18–16@LAR	L 16–30DEN	@DAL+9.5 · 21%	@SEA+11 · 17%	LAR+8 · 24%	@KC+12 · 15%	WAS+1.5 · 45%	PHI+5.5 · 32%	Bye	NYJ−1 · 54%	@NO+7 · 26%	LV+0.5 · 48%	SF+8 · 24%	W15	0
ATL	L 13–20@PIT	L 3–34CAR	W 35–14@GB	W 45–24@NO	L 23–30BAL	L 23–31CHI	W 29–20SF	@TB+3.5 · 37%	CIN+5 · 32%	KC+4 · 36%	Bye	@MIN+6.5 · 29%	DET+3.5 · 37%	@CLE+2 · 43%	@WAS+2 · 42%	TB−0.5 · 53%	NO−0.5 · 53%	@CAR+3.5 · 38%	W16	3
BAL	W 41–23@IND	L 17–24NO	W 34–31@DAL	W 24–18TEN	W 30–23@ATL	L 10–13@CLE	L 13–35CIN	@BUF+5 · 33%	JAX−2.5 · 59%	LAC−5 · 68%	@CAR−2 · 58%	@HOU+1 · 47%	Bye	TB−7.5 · 74%	@PITPK · 51%	CLE−8 · 76%	@CIN+2 · 44%	PIT−4.5 · 66%	W16	58
BUF	W 36–31@HOU	W 41–31DET	W 24–16LAC	L 26–29NE	W 37–34@LAR	W 33–30@LV	Bye	BAL−5 · 67%	@MINPK · 50%	@NYJ−6.5 · 72%	MIA−14.5 · 89%	KC−3.5 · 62%	@NEPK · 50%	@GB−0.5 · 51%	CHI−5 · 67%	@DEN+0.5 · 48%	@MIA−10 · 81%	NYJ−11 · 83%	W11	149
CAR	L 37–59CHI	W 34–3@ATL	L 18–21@CLE	W 32–26DET	Bye	W 25–14@PHI	L 13–43TB	@GB+5.5 · 30%	DEN+2.5 · 42%	@NO+2.5 · 41%	BAL+2 · 42%	@TB+2.5 · 41%	@MIN+6 · 29%	NO−2 · 57%	CIN+1.5 · 44%	@PIT+4 · 36%	SEA+2 · 43%	ATL−3.5 · 62%	W18	12
CHI	W 59–37@CAR	L 3–9MIN	W 27–7PHI	W 23–12NYJ	L 7–31@GB	W 31–23@ATL	W 30–24NE	@SEA+3 · 40%	TB−5.5 · 69%	Bye	NO−6.5 · 72%	@DET+3.5 · 38%	JAX−2 · 57%	@MIA−7.5 · 75%	@BUF+5 · 33%	GB−2 · 58%	DET−1 · 54%	@MIN+2.5 · 41%	W14	44
CIN	W 33–27TB	W 20–6@HOU	L 27–30@PIT	L 17–22JAX	W 31–24@MIA	Bye	W 35–13@BAL	TEN−9 · 79%	@ATL−5 · 68%	PIT−3 · 61%	@WAS−3 · 60%	NO−6 · 70%	@CLE−3.5 · 62%	KC−1 · 54%	@CAR−1.5 · 56%	@IND−1.5 · 55%	BAL−2 · 56%	CLE−7.5 · 75%	W8	96
CLE	L 10–34@JAX	W 23–19@TB	W 21–18CAR	W 27–24PIT	L 12–17@NYJ	W 13–10BAL	W 27–24@TEN	@PIT+5.5 · 31%	@NO+5 · 33%	HOU+2.5 · 41%	Bye	LV−3.5 · 63%	CIN+3.5 · 38%	ATL−2 · 57%	@NYG+4 · 36%	@BAL+8 · 24%	INDPK · 51%	@CIN+7.5 · 25%	W12	1
DAL	L 20–28@NYG	W 37–20WAS	L 31–34BAL	W 34–30@HOU	L 16–24TB	L 13–23@GB	@PHI+2.5 · 41%	ARI−9.5 · 79%	@INDPK · 49%	SF+1 · 47%	TEN−7.5 · 75%	PHI−2 · 56%	@SEA+4 · 36%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	JAX−1 · 53%	NYG−4.5 · 65%	@WAS−1.5 · 55%	W8	74
DEN	L 10–31@KC	W 20–13JAX	W 30–26LAR	L 14–24@SF	W 23–17@LAC	W 17–14SEA	W 30–16@ARI	KC−2 · 57%	@CAR−2.5 · 58%	Bye	LV−10 · 80%	@PIT−0.5 · 52%	MIA−13 · 87%	@NYJ−4 · 64%	@LV−4.5 · 65%	BUF−0.5 · 52%	@NE+1.5 · 44%	LAC−5.5 · 69%	W13	75
DET	W 31–30NO	L 31–41@BUF	W 31–24NYJ	L 26–32@CAR	W 45–21@ARI	Bye	W 20–17GB	MIN−3 · 60%	@MIA−8.5 · 78%	NE−0.5 · 52%	TB−5.5 · 69%	CHI−3.5 · 62%	@ATL−3.5 · 63%	TEN−10 · 81%	@MIN+1.5 · 45%	NYG−6.5 · 72%	@CHI+1 · 46%	@GB+1 · 46%	W14	67
GB	L 22–39@MIN	W 20–17@NYJ	L 14–35ATL	W 17–14@TB	W 31–7CHI	W 23–13DAL	L 17–20@DET	CAR−5.5 · 70%	@NE+2.5 · 41%	MIN−2 · 57%	Bye	@LAR+4 · 36%	@NO−1 · 54%	BUF+0.5 · 49%	MIA−12 · 85%	@CHI+2 · 42%	HOU−2.5 · 60%	DET−1 · 54%	W15	48
HOU	L 31–36BUF	L 6–20CIN	L 17–19@IND	L 30–34DAL	W 26–3@TEN	W 34–31@JAX	L 21–27NYG	Bye	@LAC−0.5 · 52%	@CLE−2.5 · 59%	IND−5 · 67%	BAL−1 · 53%	@PIT+1 · 46%	@WAS−2 · 57%	JAX−1.5 · 55%	@PHI+2 · 43%	@GB+2.5 · 40%	TEN−8.5 · 77%	W18	53
IND	L 23–41BAL	L 30–33@KC	W 19–17HOU	W 30–13@WAS	L 22–34@PIT	L 20–26TEN	L 10–16@MIN	@JAX+6.5 · 28%	DALPK · 51%	MIA−9 · 78%	@HOU+5 · 33%	NYG−2.5 · 58%	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	@TEN−1 · 54%	CIN+1.5 · 45%	@CLEPK · 49%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	W10	28
JAX	W 34–10CLE	L 13–20@DEN	W 35–6NE	W 22–17@CIN	W 19–17PHI	L 31–34HOU	Bye	IND−6.5 · 72%	@BAL+2.5 · 41%	@TEN−3.5 · 63%	@NYG−1.5 · 55%	TEN−9 · 79%	@CHI+2 · 43%	PIT−4 · 64%	@HOU+1.5 · 45%	@DAL+1 · 47%	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@IND−1.5 · 55%	W12	77
KC	W 31–10DEN	W 33–30IND	W 24–10@MIA	W 30–27@LV	Bye	W 22–6LAC	L 3–20@SEA	@DEN+2 · 43%	NYJ−10 · 80%	@ATL−4 · 64%	ARI−12 · 85%	@BUF+3.5 · 38%	@LAR+2.5 · 41%	@CIN+1 · 46%	NE−3 · 61%	SF−1.5 · 56%	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	LV−9 · 79%	W11	101
LAC	L 14–26ARI	L 14–26LV	L 16–24@BUF	L 23–30@SEA	L 17–23DEN	L 6–22@KC	Bye	@LAR+5 · 32%	HOU+0.5 · 48%	@BAL+5 · 32%	NYJ−6 · 71%	NE+1.5 · 45%	@TB+1 · 46%	@LVPK · 50%	SF+2 · 43%	@MIA−5.5 · 68%	KC+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+5.5 · 31%	W11	23
LAR	L 7–27SF	W 28–6NYG	L 26–30@DEN	W 24–20@PHI	L 34–37BUF	L 16–18ARI	W 35–21@LV	LAC−5 · 68%	@WAS−4.5 · 65%	@ARI−8 · 76%	Bye	GB−4 · 64%	KC−2.5 · 59%	@SF+2.5 · 42%	DAL−4 · 64%	@SEA+1 · 46%	@TB−3 · 60%	SEA−3.5 · 62%	W10	76
LV	W 27–13MIA	W 26–14@LAC	W 35–27@NO	L 27–30KC	L 17–45@NE	L 30–33BUF	L 21–35LAR	@NYJ+1.5 · 44%	@SF+10.5 · 18%	SEA+4 · 36%	@DEN+10 · 20%	@CLE+3.5 · 37%	Bye	LACPK · 50%	DEN+4.5 · 35%	TEN−3 · 61%	@ARI−0.5 · 52%	@KC+9 · 21%	W16	2
MIA	L 13–27@LV	L 13–35@SF	L 10–24KC	L 10–15@MIN	L 24–31CIN	Bye	W 28–25@NYJ	NE+8 · 24%	DET+8.5 · 22%	@IND+9 · 22%	@BUF+14.5 · 11%	NYJ+1.5 · 45%	@DEN+13 · 13%	CHI+7.5 · 25%	@GB+12 · 15%	LAC+5.5 · 32%	BUF+10 · 19%	@NE+12.5 · 14%	W12	0
MIN	W 39–22GB	W 9–3@CHI	W 23–16@TB	W 15–10MIA	W 23–13@NO	Bye	W 16–10IND	@DET+3 · 40%	BUFPK · 50%	@GB+2 · 43%	@SF+1.5 · 44%	ATL−6.5 · 71%	CAR−6 · 71%	@NE+2.5 · 42%	DET−1.5 · 55%	WAS−7.5 · 74%	@NYJ−4.5 · 65%	CHI−2.5 · 59%	W16	48
NE	L 10–13@SEA	W 20–3PIT	L 6–35@JAX	W 29–26@BUF	W 45–17LV	W 26–19NYJ	L 24–30@CHI	@MIA−8 · 76%	GB−2.5 · 59%	@DET+0.5 · 48%	Bye	@LAC−1.5 · 55%	BUFPK · 50%	MIN−2.5 · 58%	@KC+3 · 39%	@NYJ−4.5 · 66%	DEN−1.5 · 56%	MIA−12.5 · 86%	W18	68
NO	L 30–31@DET	W 24–17@BAL	L 27–35LV	L 24–45ATL	L 13–23MIN	W 34–27@NYG	L 10–16PIT	Bye	CLE−5 · 67%	CAR−2.5 · 59%	@CHI+6.5 · 28%	@CIN+6 · 30%	GB+1 · 46%	@CAR+2 · 43%	@TB+2 · 42%	ARI−7 · 74%	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	TB−2 · 58%	W16	29
NYG	W 28–20DAL	L 6–28@LAR	W 12–7TEN	W 36–24ARI	T 27–27@WAS	L 27–34NO	W 27–21@HOU	Bye	@PHI+3.5 · 37%	WAS−3.5 · 63%	JAX+1.5 · 45%	@IND+2.5 · 42%	SF+3 · 39%	@SEA+6 · 29%	CLE−4 · 64%	@DET+6.5 · 28%	@DAL+4.5 · 35%	PHI+0.5 · 49%	W15	17
NYJ	W 23–10@TEN	L 17–20GB	L 24–31@DET	L 12–23@CHI	W 17–12CLE	L 19–26@NE	L 25–28MIA	LV−1.5 · 56%	@KC+10 · 20%	BUF+6.5 · 28%	@LAC+6 · 29%	@MIA−1.5 · 55%	Bye	DEN+4 · 36%	@ARI+1 · 46%	NE+4.5 · 34%	MIN+4.5 · 35%	@BUF+11 · 17%	W8	6
PHI	W 24–22WAS	W 24–20@TEN	L 7–27@CHI	L 20–24LAR	L 17–19@JAX	L 14–25CAR	DAL−2.5 · 59%	@WAS−1 · 53%	NYG−3.5 · 63%	Bye	PIT−4 · 64%	@DAL+2 · 44%	@ARI−5.5 · 68%	IND−3.5 · 63%	SEA−1 · 53%	HOU−2 · 57%	@SF+5 · 33%	@NYG−0.5 · 51%	W13	39
PIT	W 20–13ATL	L 3–20@NE	W 30–27CIN	L 24–27@CLE	W 34–22IND	W 26–19@TB	W 16–10@NO	CLE−5.5 · 69%	Bye	@CIN+3 · 39%	@PHI+4 · 36%	DEN+0.5 · 48%	HOU−1 · 54%	@JAX+4 · 36%	BALPK · 49%	CAR−4 · 64%	@TEN−3 · 60%	@BAL+4.5 · 34%	W8	29
SEA	W 13–10NE	W 31–7@ARI	L 31–33@WAS	W 30–23LAC	L 29–32SF	L 14–17@DEN	W 20–3KC	CHI−3 · 60%	ARI−11 · 83%	@LV−4 · 64%	Bye	@SF+2.5 · 41%	DAL−4 · 64%	NYG−6 · 71%	@PHI+1 · 47%	LAR−1 · 54%	@CAR−2 · 57%	@LAR+3.5 · 38%	W9	63
SF	W 27–7@LAR	W 35–13MIA	W 36–30ARI	W 24–14DEN	W 32–29@SEA	W 23–17WAS	L 20–29@ATL	Bye	LV−10.5 · 82%	@DAL−1 · 53%	MIN−1.5 · 56%	SEA−2.5 · 59%	@NYG−3 · 61%	LAR−2.5 · 58%	@LAC−2 · 57%	@KC+1.5 · 44%	PHI−5 · 67%	@ARI−8 · 76%	W9	73
TB	L 27–33@CIN	L 19–23CLE	L 16–23MIN	L 14–17GB	W 24–16@DAL	L 19–26PIT	W 43–13@CAR	ATL−3.5 · 63%	@CHI+5.5 · 31%	Bye	@DET+5.5 · 31%	CAR−2.5 · 59%	LAC−1 · 54%	@BAL+7.5 · 26%	NO−2 · 58%	@ATL+0.5 · 47%	LAR+3 · 40%	@NO+2 · 42%	W8	13
TEN	L 10–23NYJ	L 20–24PHI	L 7–12@NYG	L 18–24@BAL	L 3–26HOU	W 26–20@IND	L 24–27CLE	@CIN+9 · 21%	Bye	JAX+3.5 · 37%	@DAL+7.5 · 25%	@JAX+9 · 21%	WAS−0.5 · 51%	@DET+10 · 19%	IND+1 · 46%	@LV+3 · 39%	PIT+3 · 40%	@HOU+8.5 · 23%	W13	0
WAS	L 22–24@PHI	L 20–37@DAL	W 33–31SEA	L 13–30IND	T 27–27NYG	L 17–23@SF	Bye	PHI+1 · 47%	LAR+4.5 · 35%	@NYG+3.5 · 37%	CIN+3 · 40%	@ARI−1.5 · 55%	@TEN+0.5 · 49%	HOU+2 · 43%	ATL−2 · 58%	@MIN+7.5 · 26%	@JAX+7.5 · 26%	DAL+1.5 · 45%	W15	0

These are MockSlate model numbers, not sportsbook lines.

MockSlate is not affiliated with Circa Sports or Splash Sports.

Splash Survivor 2026 double-pick weeks explained

In Week 9, Week 12, Week 13, Week 14, Week 15 and Week 16 you submit two teams instead of one, and both have to win. The X2 badge marks those columns, and each accepts two picks. Because both picks must hit, the real chance for the week is the product of the two win chances: two 75% teams together are 56%, not 75%. That is why Future Value on this page uses the joint chance in double weeks, and why the strongest single favorites are worth saving for them.

Best two-team combinations Week 9 Splash Survivor

Week 7 is a single-pick week; the next double week is Week 9. The two highest win chances on that board, from our ratings through Week 6, are Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals at 83% and San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders at 82%. Together they win 68% of the time. The second pick can change the math fast: an 80% favorite paired with a 60% favorite gives you only a 48% chance that both win.

How the $21M Splash Survivor World Championship works

Splash Sports runs its survivor contest as a season-long, single-elimination pool: pick one winner each week, two in the double weeks, and never use a team twice. For 2026 the guarantee is $21 million and the entry is $1,000; entry closed September 13. A loss ends the entry. The double weeks are where fields thin fastest, because two picks must both win. This map models that format only; entry terms, prize pool, and tiebreak rules are published by Splash Sports and can change from season to season.

Splash Survivor Week 9 and Weeks 12–16 double picks

The best pair in each double week by our ratings through Week 6, before any picks are used:

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks (83%) and San Francisco 49ers (82%), 68% together.
Week 12: Jacksonville Jaguars (79%) and Minnesota Vikings (71%), 56% together.
Week 13: Denver Broncos (87%) and Minnesota Vikings (71%), 62% together.
Week 14: Detroit Lions (81%) and Chicago Bears (75%), 61% together.
Week 15: Green Bay Packers (85%) and Buffalo Bills (67%), 57% together.
Week 16: Baltimore Ravens (76%) and Minnesota Vikings (74%), 56% together.

Splash Survivor 2026 Map FAQ

Can I use the map for Circa Survivor?

Not this page. The Circa version has the two holiday legs as their own columns: the Circa Survivor 2026 Map.

Does the map handle Splash double-pick weeks?

Yes. Week 9 and Weeks 12 through 16 carry an X2 badge and accept two picks each. Your picks here are kept separately from the Standard and Circa maps.

Are these sportsbook lines?

No. They come from our own ratings. They are model numbers, not betting prices.

Updated: October 26, 2026 · Ratings snapshot: Week 6